Tom Gates highlights some prospects that he's been hemming and hawing about recently where there is a good chance they move up (or down) the rankings at the beginning of next season.
When a player is performing well or poorly, it makes it easier to move them up or down in the rankings. What becomes tough, is when a player struggles, but you believe they are much better or vice versa. Stats do matter, so at times, I’m torn and doubts creep into my mind. However, there are some players I have a very strong opinion on, and no matter what they are doing, I’m less influenced. Here are some of the players that I’ve held tight on, but are on the verge of moving in my ranks.
Players that have a chance of moving up
Cam Collier, 3B CIN (Double-A)
My rank: 62
Consensus: 86
The scouting reports and his numbers in High-A say that Collier has big power. He hit 20 home runs in 119 games as a 19-year-old. This year, yeah, not so much. But there is a reason.
Collier suffered a torn UCL in his left thumb in March that required surgery. His season didn’t start until May 19th. While at High-A, there wasn’t much power, and Collier was hitting the ball on the ground a ton, albeit it was just 11 games. His batted ball profile got better in Double-A, but overall, his swing needs to be geared towards elevating the ball more. It’s still a flatter bat path and his fly ball percentage was under 30%.
Collier showed good in-zone contact skills at Double-A, hitting 80% of the balls in the zone he swung at. There is still work to be done here; he needs to become more aggressive. If Collier can get more lift on the ball and adopt a more aggressive approach, I anticipate we’ll see him have 30 home runs in his sights.
I’m obviously willing to write off this season due to his injury. He's been invited to the AFL this year, and I think the buzz on him will heat up with a good performance.
Jonny Farmelo, CF SEA (High-A)
My rank: 51
Consensus: 61
Greg is the high man here at 26th, but I can see myself getting there by early 2026. Farmelo has legitimate top-10 upside. He opened the year on fire, launching five homers in his first 15 games before a rib injury sidelined him again.
Jonny Farmelo brings the THUMP with a game-tying homer for the @EverettAquaSox in the High-A playoffs 💥
The @Mariners' No. 7 prospect (MLB No. 79) tripled in his first AB.
I’m also buying into the idea that he didn’t run much this season simply because he was coming off the ACL injury. Next year, he’ll be in a far more hitter-friendly park, which should only help his numbers. Even if you’re not sold on Farmelo long-term, there’s profit potential here: buy this offseason while he’s undervalued, then flip him once the stock rises.
Currently, my ranking reflects the fact that Farmelo hasn’t been able to put it all together, primarily due to injuries. If healthy, and putting up the power-speed numbers that I anticipate, I’ll be joining Greg. If you want to get ahead of the pack, I suggest making Farmelo a target this offseason, as his stock has a good chance of exploding.
Jaxon Wiggins, RHP CH (Triple-A)
My rank: 94
Consensus: 71
As a Cubs fan, I’d love to be wrong. The team needs arms, and developing our own hasn’t exactly been a strength in recent years.
His fastball is comfortably a plus offering; it reminds me of Andrew Painter’s fastball the way it jumps at you. It comes with both velocity and life, touching 100 mph multiple times in his last start. When I watch Wiggins, I notice he really only throws it in one spot—up at the letters. That makes the pitch even more effective, but it also makes me wonder: will it play as well against Major League hitters? His slider works nicely off the elevated fastball, starting in that same upper quadrant before darting sharply down to the lower one.
What holds me back is the limited variation in his location with his pitches and also the pause in his season. Wiggins took a month off mid-year without any reported injury, and innings-wise, he’s only about 15 beyond last season’s total. There were even murmurs about him possibly joining the Cubs later this year, but that never materialized. Since May 20th, Wiggins hasn’t gone beyond three innings in an outing; he’s been heavily protected. If he does get a call-up, it would be a short-inning role, probably out of the pen.
Because he was never really “unleashed” this season, I’ve left room for him to climb in my rankings once he shows he can pitch deeper into games and maintain his stuff the second and third time through the order. Right now, he looks dominant in his two-to-three inning role.
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Watch Path to the Show on Bally Sports Live & Stadium! | Amateur and Dynasty Team Writer/Podcaster | I love the Tennessee Volunteers, milk, pitchers, catchers, & you <3 P4:13
As Director of Pro Scouting, I lead a talented group of evaluators as we break down future stars. You can find me at random California League games throughout the season!
Dynasty player of 10+ years. Helping you find the building blocks of your championship rosters as a co-host on the Dynasty Baseball Pickups podcast since mid-season 2023, joined Prospects Live at the start of 2024.
As Director of Pro Scouting, I lead a talented group of evaluators as we break down future stars. You can find me at random California League games throughout the season!
Director of Dynasty Content - Canadian born and raised, moved to Arkansas with my wife and two sons Ezra and Ari. Followed and played baseball my whole life; played dynasty for 25+ years.