First Year Player Draft Deep Sleepers

Hopefully, you have read our FYPD Top 100 prospects and crushed the first couple rounds of your draft. If you haven’t held your draft, just stick to the script and you’ll be ok. BUT, what happens when the Top 100 are gone? Depending on league size and draft set-up, this could occur by round 3 or round 10. Either way, we got you covered. - Jason Woodell

Jack Herman, OF - PIT

Age: 19 (9/30/99)

30th round- 894th overall

.340/.435/.489, .149 ISO, 161 wRC+, 13.6 BB%, 14.2 K%

Cold weather kid from New Jersey. The Pirates offered to pay his college tuition in order to sign him away from a commitment to Maryland. Projected to go rounds 7-10, before falling to round 30. Shows good physical projection and an advanced approach at the plate. - Jason Woodell

Bryce Bush, 3B - CWS

Age: 19 (12/14/99)

33th round- 978th overall

.309/.396/.453, .144 ISO, 129 wRC+, 11.3 BB%, 15.6 K%

Athletic hitter with physical projection. Explosive bat speed with advanced approach for age. Short, quick swing produces line drives and power to all fields. One of the top high school power hitters. Chicago was able to sign Bush away from a commitment to Mississippi State. - Jason Woodell

Tanner Myatt, RHP - NYY

Age: 20 (5/11/98)

11th round- 337th overall

10.8 K/9, 4.42 BB/9, 29.7 K%, 12.2 BB%, .203 AVG

Tall, lean, athletic. Gets plus extension and repeats his mechanics, which can be difficult for taller pitchers. His fastball sits mid 90’s with run that touches 97. His curveball and change-up flash plus. Delivery is deceptive with a low ¾ slot and cross-body arm action. Myatt was drafted out of Florence-Darlington Technical College. - Jason Pennini and Jason Woodell

Tarik Skubal, LHP - DET

Age: 22 (11/20/96)

9th round- 255th overall

13.3 K/9, 1.61 BB/9, 40.2 K%, 4.9 BB%, .192 AVG

Skubal is an athletic lefty, possessing a 70 grade fastball with run. His slider and change-up are fringe pitches but flash average to plus at times. Skubal could not throw strikes as an amateur but posted 33:4 K:BB ratio in a small sample size as a pro. If he can continue to harness his command, he could develop into a mid-rotation SP. - Jason Woodell

Julian Smith, LHP - LAD

Age: 21 (6/6/97)

15th round- 464th Overall

DNP

Lanky, long legs. Extremely easy delivery with loose arm. Not a frame that will support a ton of weight but room for some. FB 93-95 with life, often to glove side. CB 76-79 flashed plus with 1 to 7 shape and depth. CHG 83-86 could get firm. He had Tommy John and missed 2016 and 2017 so there is some built in risk here. Smith was drafted out of Catawba Valley CC and had committed to North Carolina State. - Jason Pennini and Jason Woodell

Frainyer Chavez, SS - TEX

Age: 19 (5/24/99)

22nd round- 659th overall

.306/.378/.405, .098 ISO, 9.7 BB%, 18.9 K%

He's very studly. Outperformed Easley and Ornelas in AZL. Small, but thin frame. Almost Luis Urias like, but shorter. Great defender both SS and 2B. When I saw him he had a short swing path which allowed him to make great contact. Power is questionable long term, but 25 stolen base range. Prototypical number two hitter to me - Chris Welsh

Gabriel Rodriguez, LHP - ATL

Age: 19 (4/9/99)

31st round- 922nd overall

18.0 K/9, 18.0 BB/9, 36.7 K%, 36.7 BB%, .083 AVG

Drafted out of Miami-Dade Community College, Rodriguez was a RF that struggled offensively after being drafted out of high school in the 11th round in 2017 by Minnesota. He pitched a few games in JUCO and that was enough for the Braves to draft him. He has touched 99 and has some feel for a curveball. Rodriguez is more raw than Nuke Laloosh and the “Wild Thing” Ricky Vaughn. He is a long term project. - Jason Woodell

Luis Tejeda, SS - PIT

Age: 17 (8/26/01)

Signed July 2, 2018- $500K

It’s hard to project some of the younger Latino players without seeing them in person. When they sign, they are the age of highschool juniors and sophomores. A lot of times, we can use seven figure signing bonuses to determine their ranks until they hit stateside ball. The bust rate is high with these kids so if you are in leagues with roster limitations, a guy like Tejeda could require a wait-and-see approach. He will likely make his debut in the DSL which will still limit his looks. So why is he here? I saw this video on Youtube and fell in love with the size, strength, and swing. - Jason Woodell

Eduardo Garcia, SS - MIL

Age: 16 (7/10/02)

Signed July 10, 2018- $1.1 Million

Ok, so signing for over a million dollars might be too much to call Garcia a sleeper but this kid should be getting more buzz. He couldn’t sign right away on the July 2nd date because he didn’t turn 16 until a few days later. Garcia has a well rounded skill set and was garnering praise for how he looked at instructs. All indications are he’s an extremely advanced kid with the defensive skills to stick at the position. Offensively, the righty has a nice swing, but just needs to add strength. At six-foot-two, he has plenty of room to add weight. - Matt Thompson

Logan Simmons, SS - PHI

Age: 18 (4/11/2000)

6th Round - 167th overall

.232/.345/.400, .168 ISO, 115 wRC+, 8 BB%, 26.5 K%

The player formerly known as Kendall Logan Simmons was a potential top three round pick entering the spring, but some struggles to make consistent contact saw his stock tank. The Phillies popped the Georgia bred shortstop in the 6th round. He showed pretty well in the GCL flashing some power (.168 ISO) and athleticism in the field. He’s just an average fielder at third, but he has the pop and projectable frame to transition into power hitting corner man with a plus glove. Not often you find a raw player with some pedigree this late. - Ralph Lifshitz

Korey Holland, OF -CLE

Age: 19 (1/1/2000)

14th Round - 433rd overall

.245/.400/.298, .053 ISO, 115 wRC+, 19.2 BB%, 25 K%

The top prospect in Texas’ incoming recruiting class, jetted for the pros after the Indians offered the speedy outfielder a bonus north of $500K. In his early returns Holland hasn’t flashed much power, but there’s plus speed, athleticism, a projectable frame, and a right-handed swing that’s so basic there’s plenty of room for mechanical adjustments to unlock some of the power potential. A top prep talent that slipped through the cracks. - Ralph Lifshitz

Gionti Turner, 2B - TB

Age: 18 (8/17/2000)

27th Round - 823rd overall

.296/.348/.396, .101 ISO, 113 wRC+, 6.4 BB%, 22.5 K%

The extra young Turner was a jewel of pick by the Indians in round 27, blessed with plus plus athleticism, speed, and loads of projection. His offensive profile lags behind his raw tools at the moment but there’s an exciting athletic talent, which is always a worthy gamble the deeper you get into first year player drafts. Turner was acquired by the Rays for Chih-Wei Hu in late November. Two thoughts on that: first, it’s not often that a 27th round pick is traded for a big leaguer straight up; second, with the Rays recent track record in the amateur market you have to think they know something we don’t. - Ralph Lifshitz

Lawrence Butler, OF - OAK

Age: 18 (7/10/2000)

6th Round - 173rd overall

.226/.339/.330, .104 ISO, 98 wRC+, 14.5 BB%, 34.7 K%

An athletic lefthanded hitting power prospect with a likely home at first base long term. The only prep player the Athletics took in the first 10 rounds of the draft. He’s 6’4 with a projectable frame, a swing already leveraged for hard contact, and a patient, but not passive approach at the plate. Butler is one of the better power sleepers outside the first three rounds of the draft, and one I’d take a flier on in deeper formats. - Ralph Lifshitz

Sean Guilbe, 2B - SD

Age: 19 (12/13/1999)

12th Round - 351st overall

.218/.409/.421, .203 ISO, 141 wRC+, 22.7 BB%, 35.2 K%

One of the top prep performers post draft was the Padres 12th rounder, despite a .218 batting average and 35.2 K%, the second baseman posted a 22.7 BB%, a .203 ISO, and a wRC+ of 141. A Tennessee commit from the Pennsylvania prep ranks, Guilbe shows elite bat speed, a big frame with natural raw power, and an average exit velocity of 96 MPH (97 percentile) on the showcase circuit. Despite the tantalizing tools at the plate his approach provides significant risk of falling into the three true outcome profile. His arm graded out well over the 2017 showcase circuit exhibiting good carry and zip. It’s a risk/reward profile in an organization with a track record of uncovering gems. During his time at Berks Catholic, Guilbe played every position on the field including catcher, but saw a majority of his action in pro-ball split between second and third (20 games at each) with a quartet of games in center.  - Ralph Lifshitz

Cal Stevenson, OF - TOR

Age: 22 (9/12/1996)

10th Round - 296th overall

.369/.511/.523, .154 ISO, 181 wRC+, 22.9% Bb, 8.6% K

No one hit in rookie ball in 2018 the way Stevenson did, unfortunately he bears the “advanced college hitter vs. rookie ball pitching tag.” Stevenson played at three different colleges during his amateur career, first starting at Nevada before transferring to Chabot College, a junior college in California, for his sophomore season before transferring to Arizona for his final two seasons of eligibility. While in Tucson, Stevenson never displayed much power or speed, he did however have plate approach and discipline in spades. Ultimately I view that as Stevenson’s calling card, a player who can get on base, control the strike zone and score a fair amount of runs. - Ralph Lifshitz

Jaylen Palmer, SS - NYM

Age: 18 (7/31/2000)

22th Round - 650th overall

.310/.394/.414, .103 ISO, 134 wRC+, 8 BB%, 27 K%

A homegrown talent from the Mets own backyard with a bag of raw tools that hint toward upside far above his draft spot. Palmer’s carrying tool is his athletic fielding, pointing toward a good chance of sticking at short in the future. At this point Palmer is raw at the plate, but the swing is smooth and athletic. He’s very upright, employing a slight toe tap as he engages his lower half. The bat path is balanced and linear and his barrel hangs in the zone, leading to lots of hard line drive contact. It’s a swing that could be leveraged for more potential as he develops in the coming years. His above average wheels should lead to some value on the bases, though it may show more in stretching for extra bases than actual steals. For now Palmer’s upside sits at utility infielder, but one with the ability to unlock another gear. - Ralph Lifshitz


Featured Image: Gabriel Rodriguez courtesy of Jeff Morris @BIRDIESnBRAVES