1. Yusei Kikuchi, LHP
2. Jarred Kelenic, OF
3.Justin Dunn, RHP
4. Justus Sheffield, LHP
5. Julio Rodriguez, OF
It’s been a long two months since we released our first edition of our 2018 First Year Player Draft rankings for dynasty leagues. While there’s been little to no game play since then there’s been time to dive a little deeper. Working as a collective unit on our Top 30 ranks will do that to you. It also forces you to dig a little deeper into the player pool, and that often leads to more refined knowledge on many of the players listed below. For example much has changed for Nico Hoerner since our first ranking. After showing well in the Arizona Fall League coming of injury and fresh out of the draft is a rare feat. We also have the privilege of working with Jason Pennini, who spent an entire Fall League’s worth of time in AZ. Due to Jason’s traveling ways we also got some looks at players in instructional ball in both Arizona and Florida. And of course Jason Woodell was stalking the fields of Florida as well. So all this to say we got live looks like Biggie got bars. Then to top it all of we’ve had some players sign (see: Kikuchi, Yusei, etc), and others we’ve fallen for. So why not update right? Right!
Role 80 (5+WAR) – Risk – Moderate
1) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) Toronto Blue Jays – Heap of effusive praise commence. Eighty grades should not be thrown around lightly. I am not even sure that there should be an 80 given to a prospect every season. Only .3% or 3/1000 data points in a normal distribution fall beyond three standards deviations of the mean. An 80 on the scouting scale describes a position player who is a franchise cornerstone or potential hall of famer. This is perhaps a blasphemous expectation, but that is what I think Vlad will be. Please understand how absurd it is to give him moderate risk to reach this projection. Vlad was the best player in the fall league at age 19 and frankly looked uninterested at times. I don’t think we were watching vintage Guerrero. His bat speed and bat control were surpassed only by his advanced feel for the zone. While I view him as a 1B long-term, but that does not dampen my enthusiasm for him at all.